Country risk

Follow, warn, and price country risk

Country pages fuse active chains, aviation, priced country ETFs, and ETI/AEC market implications into one read per watched country.

DashboardLive widget
29
watched
12
elevated
11
chains
34
market reads

Top market implications

matrix v4 · cached
EEMShort52%
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
AEC

Research short / avoid EEM Country signals in Mexico overlap with emerging markets.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizondays to weeks
  • AEC overlap: FX volatility 58/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • acled: Unrest +45%
JETSShort51%
U.S. Global Jets ETF
AEC

Research short / avoid JETS Country signals in Japan overlap with airlines and travel.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizondays to weeks
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 57/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • yields: Spread Z1.9σ
LMTLong49%
Lockheed Martin
AEC

Research long LMT Country signals in Japan overlap with defense prime (f-35, missile defense).

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 57/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • yields: Spread Z1.9σ
EEMShort48%
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
AEC

Research short / avoid EEM Country signals in Thailand overlap with emerging markets.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizondays to weeks
  • AEC overlap: FX volatility 58/100
  • AEC overlap: Humanitarian pressure 54/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
VIXYLong47%
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
AEC

Research long VIXY Country signals in South Korea overlap with volatility hedge.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonhours to days
  • AEC overlap: Civil unrest
  • AEC overlap: Humanitarian pressure
  • AEC overlap: Named jets aloft
RTXLong46%
RTX Corporation
AEC

Research long RTX Country signals in Japan overlap with missiles and defense electronics.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 57/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • yields: Spread Z1.9σ

Country risk board

29 scanned · 6:53:43 AM
South KoreaKR
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
64
Warn
Unrest +100%Relief signal 451 named jet
Market read
Long VIXY · Volatility hedge
Open
JapanJP
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 3 receipts
49
Warn
Spread Z1.9σMilitary activity 2.01 named jet
Market read
Short JETS · Airlines and travel
Open
ChinaCN
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Unrest +104%1 named jet
Market read
Long VIXY · Volatility hedge
Open
FranceFR
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Unrest +114%Spread Z3.1σ
Market read
Long GOLD · Gold miner with EM operations
Open
Saudi ArabiaSA
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Unrest +180%Bizjets +100%
Market read
Short KSA · Saudi country equity
Open
VenezuelaVE
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Relief signal 52Unrest +38%
Market read
Short EEM · Emerging markets
Open
ThailandTH
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
47
Warn
Relief signal 451 named jetTHB weak
Market read
Short EEM · Emerging markets
Open
ItalyIT
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
44
Monitor
Spread Z2.1σUnrest +38%
Market read
Long GOLD · Gold miner with EM operations
Open
GermanyDE
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
43
Monitor
Spread Z2.5σEUR weak
Market read
Short EEM · Emerging markets
Open
IndiaIN
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
34
Monitor
Unrest +47%1 named jet
Market read
Short INDA · India country equity
Open
MexicoMX
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
33
Monitor
Unrest +45%MXN weak
Market read
Short EEM · Emerging markets
Open
United StatesUS
low confidence · 1 evidence family · 1 receipt
29
Monitor
Bizjets +491%
Market read
Long VIXY · Volatility hedge
Open
ArgentinaAR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

BrazilBR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

EgyptEG
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

HungaryHU
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

IranIR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

IsraelIL
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

LebanonLB
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

NigeriaNG
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

PakistanPK
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

PolandPL
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

RussiaRU
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

South AfricaZA
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

SpainES
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

SwitzerlandCH
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

TurkeyTR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

UKGB
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

UkraineUA
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.