Country risk

Follow, warn, and price country risk

Country pages fuse active chains, aviation, priced country ETFs, and ETI/AEC market implications into one read per watched country.

29
watched
11
elevated
9
chains
30
market reads

Top market implications

matrix v4 · cached
JETSShort62%
U.S. Global Jets ETF
AEC

Research short / avoid JETS Country signals in UK overlap with airlines and travel.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizondays to weeks
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 5.0
LMTLong59%
Lockheed Martin
AEC

Research long LMT Country signals in UK overlap with defense prime (f-35, missile defense).

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 5.0
JETSShort58%
U.S. Global Jets ETF
AEC

Research short / avoid JETS Country signals in France overlap with airlines and travel.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizondays to weeks
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 4.0
RTXLong58%
RTX Corporation
AEC

Research long RTX Country signals in UK overlap with missiles and defense electronics.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 5.0
GDLong57%
General Dynamics
AEC

Research long GD Country signals in UK overlap with navy shipbuilding + defense it.

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 5.0
NOCLong57%
Northrop Grumman
AEC

Research long NOC Country signals in UK overlap with long-cycle defense (b-21, space, drones).

24hn/a5dn/ahorizonweeks to months
  • AEC overlap: Military aircraft 100/100
  • Quote confirmation unavailable; ETI/AEC signal only.
  • military: Military activity 5.0

Country risk board

29 scanned · 4:04:15 PM
UKGB
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
64
Warn
Military activity 5.0Unrest +55%Spread Z1.2σ
Market read
Short JETS · Airlines and travel
Open
JapanJP
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
63
Warn
Relief signal 49Spread Z1.8σ1 named jet
Market read
Short EWJ · Japan ETF
Open
ArgentinaAR
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
58
Warn
Unrest +83%USDT premium +5.0%ARGT priced stress
Market read
Short ARGT · Argentina ETF
Open
ChinaCN
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Unrest +171%1 named jet
Market read
Long VIXY · Volatility hedge
Open
NigeriaNG
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Unrest +173%USDT premium +3.4%
Market read
Short NGE · Nigeria country equity
Open
RussiaRU
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
49
Warn
Bizjets +200%Relief signal 28
Market read
Long ITA · Defense and aerospace
Open
FranceFR
medium confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
47
Warn
Military activity 4.0Spread Z1.3σ
Market read
Short JETS · Airlines and travel
Open
BrazilBR
medium confidence · 3 evidence families · 3 receipts
39
Monitor
Military activity 2.5firms hazardEWZ priced stress
Market read
Short JETS · Airlines and travel
Open
Saudi ArabiaSA
low confidence · 1 evidence family · 1 receipt
29
Monitor
Bizjets +200%
Market read
Short KSA · Saudi Arabia ETF
Open
United StatesUS
low confidence · 1 evidence family · 1 receipt
29
Monitor
Bizjets +220%
Market read
Long VIXY · Volatility hedge
Open
SwitzerlandCH
low confidence · 1 evidence family · 1 receipt
28
Monitor
Bizjets +100%
Market read
Short ECH · Switzerland ETF
Open
EgyptEG
low confidence · 2 evidence families · 2 receipts
17
Quiet
firms hazardUnrest +30%
Market read
Watch EGPT · Egypt country equity
Open
GermanyDE
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

HungaryHU
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

IndiaIN
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

IranIR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

IsraelIL
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

ItalyIT
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

LebanonLB
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

MexicoMX
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

PakistanPK
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

PolandPL
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

South AfricaZA
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

South KoreaKR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

SpainES
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

ThailandTH
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

TurkeyTR
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

UkraineUA
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.

VenezuelaVE
insufficient signals · awaiting confirmation
0
Needs signals

Not enough independent evidence families yet.